-
R1 – MV Estonia – Damage pattern and scenario assessment
Overview of the documented starboard-side damage (E1/E2) and evaluation of
alternative technical scenarios that can explain the observed fracture pattern.
-
R2 – MV Estonia – Sinking scenario
Two-phase model of the final sinking sequence, combining geometry, energy and
rotation dynamics from capsize to final resting position on the seabed.
-
R3 – MV Estonia – Energy requirements for deformation
Quantitative estimate of the plastic deformation energy required to produce the
observed hull indentation on the starboard side (≈140–180 MJ).
-
R4 – MV Estonia – Hydrodynamic modelling of the sinking course
Hydrodynamic model of the post-capsize motion in two phases, from inverted stern-first
descent to rotation and gentle settling into soft seabed clay.
-
R5 – MV Estonia – Review of TalTech’s bottom contact scenario
Critical review of the TalTech numerical bottom-contact simulations with focus on
load assumptions, seabed modelling and their ability to reproduce the E1/E2 damage.
-
R6 – MV Estonia – Critical analysis of SSPA’s sinking studies 2008
Examination of the VINNOVA/SSPA foundering studies with emphasis on sinking
velocity, impact energy and consistency with later observational data.
-
R7 – MV Estonia – The bow visor did not cause damage to the starboard side
Mechanical and geometric assessment showing that the detached bow visor cannot
account for the starboard hull openings and associated deformation zone.
-
R8 – MV Estonia – Initial development of the list
Reconstruction of the early heel development using survivor testimonies, time
markers and consistency checks against an early E1/E2 damage state.
-
R9 – MV Estonia – Bottom impact and rotation
Mechanical interpretation of the Phase-2 bottom contact, explaining the final
starboard resting position and the absence of high-energy local impacts on E1/E2.
-
R10 – MV Estonia – Calculation principles and methodology
Methodological backbone for the R1–R9 analyses, including modelling assumptions,
parameter sets, uncertainty treatment and reproducibility framework.
